Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 9/6 中貓 DTR Store Champion
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
12-7-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
59.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1535
· median 1618
· range 1293–1694
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1223
Q3 1406
1694
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.0% | +5.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 30.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.8 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Allies | 3.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 31.0% | -14.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
